P22StatisticsIntermediateInterpret12 min

Interpret a Confidence Interval

Interpret a confidence interval without claiming it gives the probability of a fixed parameter.

#confidence-interval#uncertainty#sampling

Scenario

A survey estimates average delivery satisfaction at 7.4 with a 95% confidence interval of 7.1 to 7.7.

Problem statement

Explain the interval to a non-technical stakeholder and name two factors that affect its width.

Your Task

  1. Use a repeated-sampling interpretation.
  2. Avoid saying there is a 95% chance the fixed mean is inside this specific interval.
  3. Discuss sample size and variation.

Related Concepts

Sampling errorSample sizeSurvey bias

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