P35Model EvaluationAdvancedInterpret18 min

Cost-Sensitive Model Selection

Choose between models with conflicting metrics using an explicit error-cost model.

#cost-sensitive#thresholds#business-metrics#classification

Scenario

For fraud, a false negative costs about 800 while a false positive costs 25 in manual review and customer friction. Two models have different precision and recall profiles.

Problem statement

Design a comparison that selects an operating threshold by expected cost rather than accuracy.

Your Task

  1. Define the cost for every confusion-matrix outcome that matters.
  2. Evaluate multiple thresholds on validation data.
  3. Check the final choice on a separate test period.

Related Concepts

Expected valueThreshold tuningDecision analysis

Ready to count this problem?

Mark it complete when you have reasoned through the solution in your own words.